Behavioral Learning Equilibria in the New Keynesian Model

A Behavioral New Keynesian Model

This paper presents a framework for analyzing how bounded rationality a↵ects monetary and fiscal policy. The model is a tractable and parsimonious enrichment of the widely-used New Keynesian model – with one main new parameter, which quantifies how poorly agents understand future policy and its impact. That myopia parameter, in turn, a↵ects the power of monetary and fiscal policy in a microfoun...

The New Keynesian Model

Online Appendix for “A Behavioral New Keynesian Model”

Behavioral learning equilibria

We propose behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such as excess volatility in stock prices and high persistence in inflation. Boundedly rational agents use a simple univariate linear forecasting rule and correctly forecast the unconditional sample mean and first-order sample autocorrelation. In the long run, ...

Intermediate Macroeconomics: New Keynesian Model

Among mainstream academic economists and policymakers, the leading alternative to the real business cycle theory is the New Keynesian model. Whereas the real business cycle model features monetary neutrality and emphasizes that there should be no active stabilization policy by governments, the New Keynesian model builds in a friction that generates monetary non-neutrality and gives rise to a we...